7/30/2013

Mayors who belong to "Mayors Against Illegal Guns," represent virtually none of the mayors in the US

Given that there are over 35,000 cities and towns in the US, having 950 belonging to MAIG seems pretty small.  That comes to about 2.7 percent.  The cities that they have lost include: Rockford, Ill at 150,843, Nashua, N.H. at 86,933, and Sioux City 82,719.

Many of the members of MAIG come from small population towns.  I haven't checked through, but my impression is that the new members are also from relatively small places.


There are seven mayors from Arizona.

Paradise Valley: 13,035
Tolleson: 6,655

There are four mayors from Arkansas

Forest City: 15,237
Helena: 12,106
Hughes: 1,422
Wrightsville: 2,114

Lots from California (I am not going to take the time to go through all the cities, but here are a few and not necessarily the smallest ones.)

Benicia, CA: 27,426
Blue Lake, CA: 1,253
Brisbane, CA: 4,282
Campbell, CA: 40,272
Claremont, CA: 35,457
Corte Madera, CA: 9,377
Emeryville, CA: 10,335
Fairfax, CA: 7,534
Gonzales, CA: 8,364

Gustine, CA: 5,625
Healdsburg, CA: 11,440
Malibu, CA: 12,832
Morgan Hill, CA: 39,420
Orange Cove, CA: 9,580
Patterson, CA: 20,659
Ridgecrest, CA: 28,325
San Anselmo, CA: 12,491
San Luis Obispo, CA: 45,878
Signal Hill, CA: 11,185
Tiburon, CA: 9,093
West Hollywood, CA: 34,781

There are thirteen mayors from Colorado

Boulder: 101,808
Englewood: 31,177
Golden: 18,867
Lafayette: 24,453
Lakewood: 145,516
Louisville: 19,074
Manitou Springs: 5,172
Nederland: 1,445
Northglenn: 36,891
Salida: 5,317
Superior: 12,782
Telluride: 2,325

There are four mayors in Delaware:

Blades, DE: 1,241
Dewey Beach, DE: 341
Middletown, DE: 19,483
Wilmington, DE: 71,292


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6 Comments:

Blogger MaverickNH said...

Mayors can join without the consent of elected local government or citizens, but it would be interesting to calculate what percentage of the population is represented by these mayors.

7/30/2013 6:28 AM  
Blogger Magnafan said...

Do these mayors know that they are members? Do they have to pay dues, or are monies paid to them? Do any of them have staff moles who receive payment from MAIG?
Does MAIG have a newsletter? Emails to members?
Is it a non-profit? Does MAIG have an audit statement?
Can a disillusioned member make public any emails, newsletters, mailings from MAIG?

7/30/2013 7:28 AM  
Blogger dwb said...

the fact that they represent only 950 of 35,000 is less relevant that the proportion of national homicides and population.

100 of 3100 counties in the US account for 68% of homicide while being only 54% of the population. 88% of those counties voted for Obama in 2012, providing him a net margin of 10 million votes (he only won by 3.4m).

If there was a spreadsheet would counties, i'd bet lunch at mortons that if i cross referenced it with CDC data by county, those 950 mayors would account for 70-80% of homicide in the country (really, their policies).

7/30/2013 11:45 AM  
Blogger John Lott said...

Dear DWB:

Sorry, but your numbers are not correct. 100 largest counties do not make up 54% of the population. I also think that they make up more than 68% of homicides. Where did you get these percentages?

7/30/2013 1:05 PM  
Blogger dwb said...

top 200, not 100, sorry for the typo.

i used the homicides from the CDC wonder database, (which lets you download them by county).

http://wonder.cdc.gov

top as in: ranked by largest # homicides deaths.

I double checked my results using 2009/2010 average.

the cdc query tool is pretty straightforward to use; for the 09/10 average, these counties listed below account for 11700 (avg annual) homicide deaths, about 70%, and 164 million people, about 53% of the population. Not all counties are reported so there is some missing ("supressed") data. I (implicitly) assumed these were zero by ranking them, but if you assigned some sort of "average" homicide rate to these I think that they would drop out anyway because the average homicide rate for these counties is above average at 7 per 100k.

If you rank by homicide *rate* and pick 200, you DO get very different %. problem with that approach is that are a lot of small counties with 80k people and 6 homicides which could be 4 or 8 - and which push LA county CA far down in the list (LA has an average homicide rate of 7, but 700 homicides a year).

as for election returns, i got those from a news site (guardian), spot checked the results, and cross referenced (VLOOKUP) the county codes in the CDC report.


200 counties + county code, ranked by avg homicide, with population.

the total based on these for this 09/10 time period is about 11650 homicides of 16550 total (70%)



7/30/2013 3:13 PM  
Blogger dwb said...

Camden County, NJ ; 34007 ; 42 ; 513,663
Monroe County, NY ; 36055 ; 41 ; 743,865
Santa Clara County, CA ; 6085 ; 41 ; 1,773,390
Denver County, CO ; 8031 ; 41 ; 594,585
Travis County, TX ; 48453 ; 40 ; 1,015,385
Pinellas County, FL ; 12103 ; 40 ; 915,936
New Haven County, CT ; 9009 ; 39 ; 861,251
Lee County, FL ; 12071 ; 38 ; 615,526
Nassau County, NY ; 36059 ; 37 ; 1,335,810
Douglas County, NE ; 31055 ; 37 ; 514,506
Macomb County, MI ; 26099 ; 36 ; 840,207
Hennepin County, MN ; 27053 ; 36 ; 1,149,573
Delaware County, PA ; 42045 ; 35 ; 558,537
Charleston County, SC ; 45019 ; 34 ; 348,502
Richmond city, VA ; 51760 ; 34 ; 203,946
Norfolk city, VA ; 51710 ; 34 ; 242,264
Caddo Parish, LA ; 22017 ; 34 ; 254,107
Hudson County, NJ ; 34017 ; 34 ; 631,419
Hidalgo County, TX ; 48215 ; 34 ; 766,119
Tulare County, CA ; 6107 ; 34 ; 439,583
Gwinnett County, GA ; 13135 ; 34 ; 800,799
Stanislaus County, CA ; 6099 ; 33 ; 512,995
Richland County, SC ; 45079 ; 32 ; 382,375
Brevard County, FL ; 12009 ; 32 ; 542,743
Polk County, FL ; 12105 ; 32 ; 600,389
Solano County, CA ; 6095 ; 31 ; 411,817
Wyandotte County, KS ; 20209 ; 31 ; 156,961
Lucas County, OH ; 39095 ; 31 ; 442,209
Richmond County, GA ; 13245 ; 30 ; 199,519
Montgomery County, AL ; 1101 ; 30 ; 228,485
Cumberland County, NC ; 37051 ; 30 ; 318,342
Fairfield County, CT ; 9001 ; 30 ; 913,625
Salt Lake County, UT ; 49035 ; 29 ; 1,023,225
Escambia County, FL ; 12033 ; 28 ; 297,317
Robeson County, NC ; 37155 ; 28 ; 133,576
Durham County, NC ; 37063 ; 28 ; 266,472
Fort Bend County, TX ; 48157 ; 28 ; 577,253
El Paso County, CO ; 8041 ; 28 ; 615,162
Chatham County, GA ; 13051 ; 27 ; 263,625
Multnomah County, OR ; 41051 ; 27 ; 731,528
Union County, NJ ; 34039 ; 26 ; 534,467
Summit County, OH ; 39153 ; 26 ; 541,958
Will County, IL ; 17197 ; 26 ; 676,265
Providence County, RI ; 44007 ; 26 ; 626,486
Pierce County, WA ; 53053 ; 26 ; 795,854
Cobb County, GA ; 13067 ; 26 ; 686,427
Guilford County, NC ; 37081 ; 25 ; 486,293
Middlesex County, MA ; 25017 ; 25 ; 1,498,925
Newport News city, VA ; 51700 ; 25 ; 180,860
Yakima County, WA ; 53077 ; 25 ; 241,418
Allen County, IN ; 18003 ; 25 ; 354,511
Onondaga County, NY ; 36067 ; 25 ; 466,330
Sedgwick County, KS ; 20173 ; 25 ; 496,686
Merced County, CA ; 6047 ; 24 ; 254,048
Wake County, NC ; 37183 ; 24 ; 892,309
Knox County, TN ; 47093 ; 24 ; 430,851
Arapahoe County, CO ; 8005 ; 24 ; 567,582
Ventura County, CA ; 6111 ; 23 ; 819,224
Galveston County, TX ; 48167 ; 23 ; 289,369
Fairfax County, VA ; 51059 ; 23 ; 1,073,434
Volusia County, FL ; 12127 ; 23 ; 494,641
Manatee County, FL ; 12081 ; 22 ; 321,772
Hampden County, MA ; 25013 ; 22 ; 463,134
Passaic County, NJ ; 34031 ; 22 ; 499,934
Westchester County, NY ; 36119 ; 22 ; 946,657
Mahoning County, OH ; 39099 ; 22 ; 239,437
Pinal County, AZ ; 4021 ; 22 ; 362,800
Greenville County, SC ; 45045 ; 22 ; 448,940
Bibb County, GA ; 13021 ; 21 ; 155,351
Clayton County, GA ; 13063 ; 21 ; 259,746
Peoria County, IL ; 17143 ; 21 ; 186,712
Richmond County, NY ; 36085 ; 21 ; 467,848
Washoe County, NV ; 32031 ; 21 ; 419,565
San Mateo County, CA ; 6081 ; 21 ; 716,034
Hamilton County, TN ; 47065 ; 20 ; 334,561
Calcasieu Parish, LA ; 22019 ; 20 ; 191,924
Jefferson County, TX ; 48245 ; 20 ; 251,803
Bell County, TX ; 48027 ; 20 ; 305,643
Spartanburg County, SC ; 45083 ; 19 ; 283,821
Winnebago County, IL ; 17201 ; 19 ; 295,439
Madison County, AL ; 1089 ; 19 ; 332,834
Ramsey County, MN ; 27123 ; 19 ; 507,615
Bristol County, MA ; 25005 ; 19 ; 547,805
El Paso County, TX ; 48141 ; 19 ; 793,703
Montgomery County, PA ; 42091 ; 19 ; 797,684
Montgomery County, MD ; 24031 ; 19 ; 965,395

7/30/2013 3:19 PM  

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