5/23/2022

At The Federalist: Data Shows White Supremacists Are Not The Most Likely Mass Murderers

 I have a new op-ed at The Federalist.

Democrats are lying to Americans about the most likely motivations for mass murderers and the prevalence of guns in violent crime. 

In his Buffalo, New York speech last week following a mass shooting, President Biden showed he still has only two things on his mind regarding crime: guns and white supremacists.

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No one can defend white supremacists. But with violent crime soaring and this latest attack in Buffalo, people want something done. Yet Biden’s agenda won’t make people safer. 

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“Look, we’ve seen the mass shootings in Charleston, South Carolina; El Paso, Texas; in Pittsburgh. Last year in Atlanta. This week in Dallas, Texas, and now in Buffalo. In Buffalo, New York. White supremacy is a poison. It’s a poison. It really is. Running through our body politic. And it’s been allowed to fester and grow right in front of our eyes. No more. I mean, no more.”

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Of the 82 mass public shootings from January 1998 to May 2021, 9 percent have known or alleged ties to white supremacists, neo-Nazis, or anti-immigrant views. And many of the anti-immigrant attackers, such as the Buffalo murderer, hold decidedly environmentalist views that are more in line with the Democrat agenda. 

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Other groups commit mass public shootings disproportionately more than whites do. While non-Middle Eastern whites make up about 64% of the population, they make up 58% of the mass public shooters. Another nine percent are carried out by people of middle eastern origin, who make up only 0.4% of the country’s population. That makes middle easterners the most likely ethnic/racial group to carry out mass public shootings. Blacks, Asians, and American Indians commit these attacks at a slightly higher rate than their share of the population. Hispanics commit them at much lower rates (11% lower) than their share of the population.

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Seventy-one percent of mass public shooters have no identifiable political views.

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But you would never know this from watching TV police dramas or listening to Biden’s constant claim that white supremacists pose the biggest threat of domestic terrorism.

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Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas claimed in testimony in April that white supremacy is the top terrorism-related threat to the homeland. But when pressed, Mayorkas couldn’t name a single white supremacy case that his department referred to the Department of Justice for prosecution.

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White supremacists with guns are not the threat that our government would have us believe. It’s not just that white supremacy is rare – so too are gun crimes. The number of gun crimes has been falling dramatically, and they now make up less than 8% of violent crimes in America.

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“We can keep assault weapons off our streets. We’ve done it before. I did it when I passed the crime bill last time, and violence went down, shootings went down. We can’t prevent people from being radicalized to violence, but we can address the relentless exploitation of the internet to recruit and mobilize terrorism. We just need to have the courage to do that, to stand up.”

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Biden’s focus on guns, and particularly assault weapons, is misplaced. On Tuesday, Biden again bragged about how wonderful his 1994 assault weapon ban was in stopping mass public shootings, but even studies paid for by the Clinton administration couldn’t find evidence of its effectiveness. 

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If the Federal Assault Weapons Ban really drove the changes in the rate of mass public shootings, attacks with assault weapons should have become less common during the ban. Then they should have become more common, at least as a share of total shootings, after the ban ended in 2004. But that isn’t what happened. Comparing the ten years before 1994 to the ten years after, we find that the percentage of mass public shootings with assault weapons rose slightly when the ban was in effect (going from 22.2% to 23.5%) and then fell in the ten years after the ban ended (23.5% to 18.2%).

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Biden’s “guns first” approach ignores a basic fact – over 92% of violent crimes in America do not involve firearms. In addition, although Biden blames guns for the increase in violent crime, the latest data show that gun crimes fell dramatically.

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new McLaughlin & Associates survey of 1,000 likely voters from April 20th to 26th for the Crime Prevention Research Center shows how misinformed people are. People across the country, of all races and incomes, have wildly inaccurate beliefs about how frequently violent crime involves guns. The average likely American voter is way off, thinking that over 46% of violent crimes involve guns. The people who had the most inaccurate views that the rate of violent crime with guns was the highest were the ones who most strongly supported gun control.

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It might not be easy to accept, but focusing solely on guns and white supremacy isn’t a wise use of resources. 

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John R. Lott, Jr., “Data Shows White Supremacists Are Not The Most Likely Mass Murderers,” The Federalist, May 23, 2022.


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4/08/2022

Spokesman for Russia must be getting paid a lot to say some of the things that he is claiming

This spokesman for Russia must be getting paid a lot to say some of the things that he is claiming. 

Ukraine War: Full Sky News interview with Vladimir Putin's spokesman "The hospital [that was blown up] was a fake."

In Bucha: "Not a single local resident has suffered from any violent actions while Russia was in control" All these dead bodies were staged. All the claims about dead bodies are fake.

https://www.youtube.com/embed/L0WScHPbaPA

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1/29/2022

Something to remember when Democrats claim racism: 13 Senate Democrats voted against Black female judge nominated by Trump

 With the new Supreme Court nomination coming soon, claims of racism are sure to be lodged against any Republican who votes against the black female that Biden has promised to nominate. From Fox News:

The Senate Democrats in question all voted against Ada E. Brown, former President Trump’s nominee for district judge of the northern district of Texas.

Brown, a Black woman, was confirmed in September 2019 by a vote of 80-13, with the 13 "nay" votes coming from Democratic Senators Chuck Schumer, Tammy Baldwin, Richard Blumenthal, Sherrod Brown, Maria Cantwell, Catherine Cortez Masto, Kirsten Gillibrand, Mazie Hirono, Ed Markey, Patty Murray, Brian Schatz, Debbie Stabenow and Ron Wyden.

Only two of the offices for the 13 senators who voted against Brown’s confirmation responded to Fox News Digitals’ requests for comment.

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12/16/2021

Biden Pushes to end the filibuster to get, Senator Jon Tester is sympathetic

12/13/2021

Is the frequency of tornadoes increasing because of "climate change"? No.

 Biden & others who blame the recent deaths from tornados on climate change should look seriously at the work from the National Weather Service.

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12/04/2021

Biden draws line in sand over Taiwan. Does anyone think that China will stop violating Taiwanese territorial space?

The US House's January 6th Commission is worried about what I was doing when I worked at the US DOJ

 A copy of the committee's deposition of Jeffrey Clark, who served as acting Attorney General for the US DOJ is available here. This is pretty funny.



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11/30/2021

Most Americans oppose Biden's Build Back Better


A new Rasmussen Report throws some cold water on Biden's Build Back Better. By a 51% to 43% margin, likely American voters oppose it. By 48% to 35% they also believe that the bill will hurt the economy.

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11/11/2021

Who voted for Glenn Youngkin: Hispanics went strongly for Youngkin

The Wall Street Journal has an interesting breakdown of who voted for Youngkin over McAuliffe. The breakdown raises questions about how the media is describing the win. Given the higher percentage of the vote that Youngkin received among Hispanics.

Progressive cable TV voices blamed defeat on citizens’ bigotry, saying the GOP won because of appeals to “white nationalism” and “dog-whistle racism.” Some strategists now advise Democrats to base their 2022 campaigns on this assumption by telling voters that “powerful elites and special interests use race as a tool of division to distract hard-working people of all races while they get robbed blind.”
Compare the breakdown in 2021 with 2017. In 2021, Youngkin won the Hispanic vote by 55% to 43%. In 2017, the Democrat candidate, Ralph Northam, won it by 67% to 32%. Who won different age or gender groups was the same in both races, though with the groups going Republican did so by smaller margins for Gillespie.


 

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10/04/2021

Biden announces feds will go after parents who are "intimidating" public school boards

 "Specialized training will also be made available for local school boards and administrators to assist them in recognizing behaviors that constitute a threat, as well as helping them report the incidents to appropriate law enforcement agencies"

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/doj-launching-effort-to-combat-threats-of-violence-against-school-officials

Q: how bad can "harassment" be if I have to teach u how to recognize it?
This sensitivity training seems at making people toverly sensitive to perceived threats.
Isn't Biden the same guy who when asked about the harassment of Sinema & Manchin said "but it happens to everybody"?




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9/27/2021

This explains a lot about the Republican Party

From The Hill:

"The Wyoming Republican [Cheney] has also gotten money and support from former Speakers Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) and John Boehner (R-Ohio)"

George W. Bush & Karl Rove are also doing a big Dallas fundraiser for Cheney.

I looked up Cheney’s voting record and she is rated below the average Republican by the ACU and NTU. She is rate as more liberal than the average Republican by the ADA and the AFL-CIO’s COPE.

5/09/2021

The Washington Post is not a "news" outlet, they are purely an opinion sheet

Why is the Washington Post considered a "news" outlet?  From today's fawning piece on Rep Liz Cheney. It is filled with comments like this: "Should the Republican Party continue to defend Trump's actions and parrot his falsehoods?" "[Trump] lied about the 2020 election" 

My point is simple: how can you say you are a "news" outlet when your news stories are filled with opinion & editorializing? There is no attempt at any balance. The news stories are just editorials for the Democrat party.  Why not just label the Washington Post  as an opinion sheet? 

The problem that all this editorializing creates for me is that I don't put much weight on any of their pieces because I know how biased they are on issues that I can evaluate.



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4/25/2021

Cancel culture run amok. If you disagree, destroy their career. "Maryland to investigate Derek Chauvin defense witness' time as state's chief medical examiner"

Dr. David Fowler testified Floyd's main cause of death was due to blockage of arteries, enlarged heart, drugs. As someone who watched the trial, I thought that Fowler was the most honest and accurate medical witness. The prosecution witnesses were amazingly dishonest, but no one is going after them. Take the expert who testified that in the thousands of cases of fentanyl overdose death data that he had examined the average was above the level found in Floyd (the median was below it). He claimed that proved Floyd didn't die from a drug overdose. It was idiotic. If I died with a level 12 in my body, that doesn't mean that I still wouldn't have died at a level 4, right? But no one is going after the "experts" on the other side. Fox News has this info:

Maryland officials will conduct an investigation into all deaths that happened in police custody that were overseen by the state's former chief medical examiner, who testified as a defense witness in the trial for former Minneapolis police officer Derek Chauvin, Maryland attorney general and governor's offices announced Friday. Chauvin was convicted last week of murder and manslaughter in the death of George Floyd,

Dr. David Fowler, who was Maryland's chief medical examiner from 2002 to 2019 and is now a member of a consulting firm, testified that the primary cause of Floyd's death was a sudden heart rhythm disturbance during police restraint due to underlying heart disease. . . .