5/02/2020

Wow!: Leaked ‘Five Eyes’ dossier on alleged Chinese coronavirus coverup consistent with US findings

So it looks like Western intelligence is united on the view that China 
The 15-page document from the intelligence agencies of the U.S., Canada, the U.K., Australia and New Zealand, . . . . aligns with U.S. intelligence that China knew the spread between humans earlier than it said, that it knew it was a novel coronavirus earlier than it said and that it was spread wider than they reported to the international community in the first weeks of the outbreak. But there are some exceptions. In particular, Australia believes the virus originated in a wet market, as the Chinese have claimed. However,  the U.S. intelligence community has not yet determined this and is still leaning away from that theory.”
Looks like this will be the lead item in a lawsuit against China.

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4/30/2020

Putting the 52 people who worked or voted in Wisconsin election and have COVID-19 in perspective

The media is making a big deal that 52 people who worked or voted in Wisconsin election have COVID-19. 
— First, as ABC News notes: “It remains unclear how many — if any — of those people contracted the virus at the polls and health officials are still collecting testing and tracing information.”
— Second, the New York Times reports that “the incubation period, on average nearly six days.” And given that a full 22 days had passed since the vote by the evening of April 29th, it is quite possible that a lot these 22 people were infected long after the voting.
But the real question not being asked: even if all 52 were infected because of the vote, what is the rate of infection? There are a few numbers that we need to put together to figure that out.
Number of votes in Presidential Primary: 1,551,712. This is a slight underestimate of the total number of votes because not everyone who voted participated in the presidential vote.
Mail-in ballots: 1,003,422. However, some of these people who sent in mail-in ballots also showed up and voted in person, so this is an overestimate.
For both of these reasons, the total number of people who voted in person is greater than the difference between 1,551,712 and 1,003,422. But even taking just the difference between these two numbers shows a gap fo 548,290 voters. 
Next, there were 4,050 polling places in Wisconsin on April 7th. In Milwaukee, “there were 80 to 100 poll workers at each site, and about 30 National Guard members at each location. Workers were taking safety precautions.” So there were someplace between 110 and 130 people working at each location. But there were only five polling sites open in Milwaukee and it isn’t clear how the staffing of polling places in Milwaukee corresponds to staffing at polling places in the rest of the state. It is a guess, but suppose conservatively that the average polling site in Wisconsin had 50 people working at it — that is another 202,500 people who risked exposure. 
Conservatively, say the total number of people involved in in-person voting was 750,790.
Even assuming that none of those 52 people could have gotten the virus any other way, the infection rate was then at the very most 0.0069 percent. To put it differently, 6.9 out of every 1,000 people who participated got ill.

4/29/2020

Democrats accusing a Democrat is different than Democrats accusing a Republican

One big similarity between the Biden & Kavanaugh cases: the accusers were all Democrats. And the witnesses who support Tara Reade's account are all Democrats  Are u more likely to believe Ds who accuse a Democrat or Democrats who accuse a Republican? The big difference Biden's accuser talked to others when it happened.

Note that while the witnesses supporter Reade's contemporaneous statements are all Democrats  the people saying that she didn't make those statements are also all Democrats who worked for Biden and who presumably hope to work in a Biden presidency.

One person confirming contemporaneous comments by Reade: "I personally am a Democrat, a very strong Democrat," LaCasse said. "I'm for Biden, regardless. But still, I have to come out and say this."

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