Polls with Likely Voters versus Registered Voters

If you look at the six polls up at Real Clear Politics, there is a huge difference between polls looking at likely voters and those that look at registered voters. For likely voters, Obama is ahead by 1.3 percentage points. For registered voters, Obama is ahead by 5 percentage points.

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Blogger Chris said...

Do I understand correctly that a Registered Voter is one that just Registered to Vote and a likely voter is one who has voted before?

7/29/2008 12:21 PM  
Blogger John Lott said...

Dear Chris:

Likely voters are people who vote regularly. Registered voters are just that, registered to vote, a broader category.

7/29/2008 12:58 PM  
Blogger Papa Giorgio said...


Thank You, I was wondering about the difference between the two.


9/03/2008 12:56 PM  

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