10/24/2012

Dramatic drop in Intrade probability that Obama will win presidency

This is still not in equilibrium (just add up the different prices), but the change over the last week in the Intrade probability that Obama will win the election is dramatic.  Note even the offer price is now down to 57.5 percent.  The third debate sure seems to have helped Romney.


Labels:

0 Comments:

Post a Comment

<< Home