Republicans have a "60 percent" chance of winning control of Pennsylvania House

My guess is that Republicans will pick up the three seats that they need to take over the Pennsylvania General Assembly. If they do that would be a big win, giving the party control of House in addition to the Senate and likely the Governorship also.

In 2010, Republicans will need a net gain of three seats to take back the majority, and they have reason to believe they could achieve that goal. Democrats are mostly playing defense but have targeted a few Republican districts as well, in the hopes of adding to their majority.

Terry Madonna, a pollster and professor of political science at Franklin and Marshall College, said Republicans are looking to make gains in the southeast corner of the state, targeting several seats in the Philadelphia suburbs in Chester and Montgomery counties.

"In those suburban seats, many of them have a slight Republican registration advantage, but they swung to the Democrats in the wave elections in 2006 and 2008," said Mr. Madonna.

He gave the Republicans a 60 percent chance of capturing the net gain of three seats needed to take the majority in the House. . . .