The Republican "Establishment" views Ted Cruz, not Donald Trump as the Threat

UPDATE: After all the blow back that I got on Twitter about this post, it is amazing that Trump is now saying that he is moving towards being with the establishment:
"I think they're warming up. I want to be honest, I have received so many phone calls from people that you would call establishment, from people — generally speaking ... conservatives, Republicans — that want to come onto our team."
Original: Nate Silver at 538 explains that he thinks Trump is much more likely to be the Republican nominee because the Republican establishment seems to be fine with Trump winning.  From Nate's discussion:
But so far, the party isn’t doing much to stop Trump. Instead, it’s making such an effort against Cruz. Consider: 
  • The governor of Iowa, Terry Branstad, said he wanted Cruz defeated.
  • Bob Dole warned of “cataclysmic” losses if Cruz was the nominee, and said Trump would fare better.
  • Mitch McConnell and other Republicans senators have been decidedly unhelpful to Cruz when discussing his constitutional eligibility to be president.
One doesn't have to look very far to see how Trump would protect vested interests.  While Ted Cruz will end the massive ethanol subsidies, a bold move for someone running in Iowa, Donald Trump did the opposite: he called for higher ethanol mandates.  This is the reason that Governor Terry Branstad is attacking Cruz. From The Hill Newspaper:
The event came hours after Iowa Gov. Terry Branstad (R) told voters in the first state to choose presidential candidates that they shouldn’t vote for Sen. Ted Cruz (Texas), one of Trump’s most potent challengers.
Branstad cited Cruz’s opposition to continuing the ethanol mandate after 2022, saying Cruz is “heavily financed by Big Oil.” 
Trump welcomed Branstad’s comment. 
Cruz has “been mixed in the subject, he goes wherever the votes are, so he all of the sudden went over here, and then all of the sudden, he got slapped,” Trump said. “So it’s very interesting to see.” 
Trump was generally very supportive of the ethanol law, saying he is “100 percent” behind the ethanol industry, a powerful force in Iowa. . . .
When Ben Carson did the economically responsible thing and challenged tax deductions in the current code, something that would challenge many vested interests, Trump attacked Carson.



Blogger Unknown said...

Silver never said Trump would be the nominee, he said he is less certain that he won't be.

1/21/2016 6:52 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Barking Lassie is never a threat, it's the quiet dogs with the agenda that are a threat.
Not that voting is real, there was no voting since the Kennedy Dynasty was put on the throne.

1/21/2016 7:29 PM  
Blogger R Devere said...

Yet, somehow when the election is over, I think Trump is the guy who will be far more willing to consider doing away with ethanol subsidies.

If the Iowa caucuses didn't lead the presidential election parade, this issue likely would not have come up.

Right now, Trump's trying to build momentum by winning the "If we weren't first, we'd be sh*t" Iowa caucuses. After he sweeps them and all the primaries, crap like ethanol subsidies will be reconsidered.

1/21/2016 9:02 PM  

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