Might a lot of Republicans be about ready to vote for Hoffman in NY-23rd?

Might guess is that many Republicans are planning on voting for Dede Scozzafava simply because she is the Republican candidate and they don't think that a conservative can win. However, if those voters are convinced that Hoffman is outpolling Dede Scozzafava, I predict that they will quickly switch to Hoffman. Here are two polls that indicate that things may be about to change.

From John Fund at the WSJ's Political Diary:

But the NRCC is nonetheless playing a cautious game. Internal polls show Ms. Scozzafava slipping into third place with each new revelation about her liberal voting record as a state legislator. Thus the NRCC is running about $250,000 in TV ads to bash Ms. Scozzafava's Democratic opponent Bill Owens, but confining its attacks on Mr. Hoffman to low-impact press releases. . . .

Here is another poll:

The poll of 300 likely voters, conducted October 24-25, 2009, shows Conservative Doug Hoffman at 31.3%, Democrat Bill Owens at 27.0%, Republican Dede Scozzafava at 19.7%, and 22% undecided. The poll's margin of error is +/- 5.66%. No information was provided about any of the candidates prior to the ballot question. . . . .

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